Preview

Entrepreneur’s Guide

Advanced search

Improving the methodology for assessing the debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation: integrating debt dynamics and GRP

https://doi.org/10.24182/2073-9885-2025-18-3-35-46

Abstract

The urgency of developing new methods for assessing the debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation is due to the need to form a comprehensive understanding of their financial stability in order to make effective management decisions at the regional and federal levels. The current methodology provides an assessment of the solvency of regions and the level of their debt burden, but does not take into account the dynamics of changes in public debt relative to the growth rate of gross regional product (GRP). In accordance with the principles of sustainable borrowing formulated by the International Monetary Fund, the volume of debt obligations should correlate with investment activity, and not only with current budget expenditures. In this regard, improving the methodology for assessing the debt sustainability of regions remains a significant scientific and practical task aimed at ensuring balanced development of territories.

About the Authors

V. A. Sakharova
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Student

Moscow



S. Ye. Demidova
Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation
Russian Federation

Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Assoc. Prof. Scientific supervisor.

Moscow



References

1. Galukhin A.V. Assessment of debt sustainability of budgets of the subjects of the Federation. Issues of territorial development. 2016. No. 5(35). P. 6.

2. Demidova S.E., Pakhomova E.D., Sakharova V.A., Vasenina V.V. Analysis of debt sustainability techniques and assessment of debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation. Bulletin of Economics, Law and Sociology. 2025. No. 1. Pp. 14–21. DOI: 10.24412/1998-5533-2025-1-14-21.

3. Kiseleva E.G. Assessment of debt sustainability of the regional budget system. Finance: theory and practice. 2022. Vol. 26, No. 3. Pp. 110–128.

4. Domar E.D. The «Burden of the Debt» and the National Income. The American Economic Review. 1944. Vol. 34, No. 4. P. 798–827. – URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/1807397 (date of reference: 05/06/2025).

5. Solomko M. N. Power and management in the East of Russia. 2021. No 1 (94). Pp. 57–69.

6. Gurvich E.T., Krasnopeeva N.A. Analysis of the relationship between income and expenditure of Russian regional budgets. Voprosy ekonomiki. 2020. No. 2. Pp. 5–29.

7. Buklanov D.A. Study of the stability of tax revenues of the budget system of the Russian Federation using elasticity coefficients. Modern fundamental and applied research. 2016. No. 4 (23). Pp. 129–135.

8. Tereshchenko V. S., Koroleva M.L. On the issue of assessing the debt sustainability of the regions of the Russian Federation. Izvestiya VUZov EFiUP. 2022. №1 (51). – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/k-voprosu-otsenki-dolgovoy-ustoychivosti-regionov-rossiyskoy-federatsii (date of access: 30.04.2025).

9. Kurilova A.A., Kiryushkina A.N. Assessment of debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation as public debt management at the regional level. CNJ. 2016. №4 (17). – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/otsenka-dolgovoy-ustoychivosti-subektov-rossiyskoy-federatsii-kak-upravlenie-gosudarstvennymdolgom-na-regionalnom-urovne (date of request: 30.04.2025).

10. Korechkov Yu.V. Debt sustainability of the region as the basis of its strategic development. Socio-political research. 2020. No. 2 (7). Pp. 81–91. DOI 10.20323/2658-428X-2020-2-7-81-91. – URL: https://spi.yspu.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/22/2020/06/SPI_2020-%E2%84%962-81-91.pdf (Accessed: 30.04.2025).

11. Balynin I.V., Terekhova T.B. Features of budget management of the budgetary system of the Russian Federation in modern conditions. Innovations and investments. 2023. No. 5. – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/osobennosti-upravleniya-byudzhetami-byudzhetnoy-sistemy-rossiyskoy-federatsii-v-sovremennyhusloviyah (date of request: 05/02/2025).

12. Potyaeva M.V., Korechkov Yu.V. Institutional assessment of subfederal borrowings / M.V. Potyaeva, Yu.V. Korechkov. Financial Economics. 2018. No. 5. pp. 553–559.

13. Polteva T.V., Kiryushkina A.N. On the issue of methods for assessing the debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation. KNJ. 2016. №4 (17). – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/k-voprosu-ometodah-otsenki-dolgovoy-ustoychivosti-subektov-rossiyskoy-federatsii (date of reference: 30.04.2025).

14. Kozelsky V.N. The impact of the debt burden on the state and direction of the development of regions. Industry: economics, management, technology. 2012. No.4 (43). – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/vliyanie-dolgovoy-nagruzki-na-sostoyanie-i-napravlenie-razvitiyaregionov (date of request: 30.04.2025).

15. Makhotaeva M.Yu., Nikolaev M.A. Debt sustainability of regions: factors and assessment methodology. Bulletin of the Udmurt University. The series «Economics and Law». 2024. No. 3. – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/dolgovaya-ustoychivost-regionov-faktory-i-metodika-otsenki (date of access: 05/09/2025).

16. Domнnguez B., Quiggin J. Australia’s Fiscal Space: The Role of Public Investment. The Australian Economic Review, Vol. 55, № 3, Pp. 383–388.

17. Soldatkin S.N. Methodological approaches to assessing the quality of debt management by the authorities of the subjects of the Russian Federation. Theory and practice of social development. 2014. No. 9. – URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/metodologicheskie-podhody-k-otsenke-kachestva-upravleniya-dolgomorganov-vlasti-subektov-rossiyskoy-federatsii (date of request: 30.04.2025).


Review

For citations:


Sakharova V.A., Demidova S.Ye. Improving the methodology for assessing the debt sustainability of the subjects of the Russian Federation: integrating debt dynamics and GRP. Entrepreneur’s Guide. 2025;18(3):35-46. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.24182/2073-9885-2025-18-3-35-46

Views: 18


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2073-9885 (Print)
ISSN 2687-136X (Online)